Monero XMR Price Action Explained —Smart Crypto Swing Trading Strategy

What if Monero doesn’t even reach the weekly demand at 475 because there’s a lower-timeframe demand sitting in the way? Today, I’ll break down the price action so you stop chasing candles and start trading like you actually want a life.

Alright, let’s talk Monero XMR using the only thing that matters: price action and supply and demand imbalances.

No news. No fundamentals. No opinions.
Because by the time Twitter screams “breaking,” the chart already yawned and moved on.

And today the whole game is simple:

• There’s a new weekly demand imbalance at 475
• And there’s a new H4 demand imbalance at 590
• The question is: Does the H4 demand first trigger a bullish reaction and then block the path to 475?

That’s the battle.

Weekly timeframe – the real compass

On the weekly timeframe, a demand imbalance around 475 has been created.

When I talk about weekly demand, I’m talking about the kind of level that can matter for:

• crypto swing trading
• position trading
• and anyone who wants to trade less and live more

Because the weekly chart is where patience becomes a weapon.

And if price is moving lower, the weekly demand becomes the “magnet” that traders naturally focus on.

But… and this is the important part…

The obstacle: H4 demand at 590

There is also a fresh H4 demand imbalance at 590.

And this is where most traders mess up:

They assume price must drop straight into weekly demand because “that’s the bigger timeframe.”

But supply and demand doesn’t work like wishful thinking.

If there’s a demand imbalance on H4 sitting above 475, it can:

• attract buyers first,
• create a reaction,
• and stop the drop early

So the correct mindset is not:
“Price will definitely drop to 475.”

The correct mindset is:
“Price may drop to 475, unless H4 demand at 590 takes control first.”

That’s how I stay objective.

Price action reading (weekly) – no guessing

On the weekly chart, what I care about is candlestick behaviour:

• Are bearish bodies strong and clean?
• Are wicks showing rejection, or just noise?
• Is momentum fading as price approaches areas where demand is likely waiting?

If the weekly candles show heavy selling pressure, fine — the path toward 475 stays open.

But if weekly candles start printing:

• smaller bodies,
• increased lower wicks,
• hesitation and deceleration,

That often hints that buyers are stepping in earlier — and the most likely candidate for that earlier reaction is… the H4 demand at 590.

Again: not nested. Just in the way.

What this means for different trader types

Scalping crypto

If you’re scalping, the H4 demand at 590 matters because it can produce sharp reactions.
But scalping also turns you into a full-time chart babysitter… and I don’t want that life for you. 😄

Intraday crypto trading

If you’re intraday trading, you want to align with whichever side is controlling price around 590, because that zone can flip the short-term direction.

Swing trading crypto (the lifestyle upgrade)

If you’re swing trading, the weekly demand at 475 is the bigger destination — but you still respect the fact that 590 may front-run it.

Swing trading is how you stop living candle to candle like a stressed-out meerkat. Trade less. Live more. That’s the point.

So the Monero XMR story right now is a simple tug-of-war:

• Weekly demand 475 is the bigger picture zone.
• H4 demand 590 is the nearer-term obstacle that can stop price early.

And as always, my edge is not prediction. My edge is patience.

Because markets pay the patient trader — and punish the impatient one with fees, stress, and bad decisions.