It never ceases to amaze me how powerful bigger timeframe imbalances are and how prices can react to them no matter how old these imbalances are. There is a clear example of a strong supply imbalance on the British Pound versus the New Zealand Dollar (GBPNZD) Forex cross-pair.
A very strong monthly supply imbalance created around a 2.09 price level last May 2016. It took 44 months for the price to retrace to it; that’s quite a lot of time. This is the type of imbalance you don’t want to trade against. These imbalances are not supported and resistance; supply and demand imbalances have nothing to do with support and resistance, even though some times imbalances contain classic support and resistance price levels used by so many traders.
Take a look at GBPNZD Forex cross-pair monthly timeframe supply and demand technical analysis below. If you are trading intraday or even scalping Forex cross pairs, you will lose all of your trades since you won’t be aware of the strength of the imbalance that took control.
Taking a look at the bigger timeframe imbalances will add extra context to Forex trading strategy and will keep you alerted of such strong imbalances that could cause havoc in your trading account. Going long using H1, M30, and smaller timeframes against such a strong imbalance is suicidal.
Trading intraday and scalping Forex is fine for those doing it, there is no doubt that trading lower timeframes can be profitable, but we highly recommend you to keep track of strong imbalances on the bigger timeframes because if you do, you will be avoiding many losses. If you were long biased on GBP/NZD Forex cross and had some losses, now you know why you had those losses.
© 2013 – 2022
Set and Forget S.L
All Rights Reserved.
Any Advice or information on this website is General Advice Only - It does not take into account your personal circumstances, please do not trade or invest based solely on this information. By viewing any material or using the information within this site you agree that this is general education material and you will not hold any person or entity responsible for loss or damages resulting from the content or general advice provided here by Set and Forget, its employees, or fellow members. Futures, options, and spot currency and stocks trading have large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the Forex and futures markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell spot Forex, cfd's, stocks or other financial products. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in any material on this website. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
High Risk Warning: Forex, Futures, and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risks. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. You must be aware of the risks of investing in Forex, futures, and options and be willing to accept them in order to trade in these markets. Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Please do not trade with borrowed money or money you cannot afford to lose. Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Please remember that the past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.