Most crypto traders obsess over lower timeframes and still feel late on every move. In this analysis, I want to slow things down and walk through Axie Infinity (AXSUSDT) using pure crypto supply and demand trading on the monthly chart. No indicators, no news, just price action and imbalances.
Axie Infinity is a blockchain-based, play-to-earn virtual world and battling game developed by Sky Mavis, where players collect, breed, and fight NFT-based creatures called “Axies”.
When I analyse any cryptocurrency, I begin with the higher timeframe. For Axie Infinity AXS, the monthly trend is clearly bearish. Price has been stair-stepping lower, and every bounce keeps failing. That tells me sellers have the upper hand.
On the chart, there’s a wide monthly supply zone roughly between $2.25 and $3.70. At some point in the past, price exploded down from that area with strong bearish candles. That aggressive move is an institutional footprint: heavy supply overwhelming demand. As long as that zone has not been removed, I assume it still matters.
This is where higher timeframe context changes everything. Instead of treating every green candle as a new bull market, I see them as potential rallies into old supply.
Supply and demand trading is about one thing: did price leave an area with enough force to prove that one side was clearly in control?
In the AXS example, the drop from the monthly supply zone checks all the boxes:
That’s classic monthly supply. When price climbs back toward that area, I don’t see “breakout potential”; I see a possible return to where sellers were very active.
Most crypto price-action trading mistakes stem from ignoring this. Traders zoom into intraday charts, see small bullish structures, and forget that all of it lives inside a bigger bearish context.
I treat the monthly supply as the big map for crypto swing trading. It tells me which side of the market deserves my attention. With AXS, I’m cautious on long ideas while this supply remains intact.
Only after I’ve defined that bias would I consider intraday crypto trading. Lower timeframes are useful for refining timing, but only when they respect the higher-timeframe imbalance. A bullish pattern formed right into the monthly supply is not an opportunity for me; it’s a warning sign.
This simple shift — higher timeframe first, details later — is where many traders go from chaos to clarity.
Whether you trade spot, margin, or futures, the chart doesn’t care. The Axie Infinity AXSUSDT monthly supply zone applies to everyone. The difference is that leverage makes emotional mistakes much more expensive.
That’s why I focus on structure rather than excitement. Trading success comes from patience, mindset, and emotional control. It’s less about finding “the perfect signal” and more about aligning yourself with the real imbalance that is already visible on the chart.
I still remind myself of one simple truth: If I can do this, anyone can. The method is not complicated; the hard part is sticking to it when boredom or fear shows up.
If you want to learn to trade crypto more calmly, start where the big players operate: weekly and monthly supply and demand zones. Let those imbalances define the story, then let price come to you instead of chasing candles in the middle of nowhere.
No holy grail, no secret indicator. Just clean charts, clear levels, and a rules-based way to read where buying and selling took control.