How Big Timeframe Supply and Demand Imbalances Move the Markets

Most traders are fighting over five-minute candles like pigeons over a dropped sandwich.
Meanwhile, the real decisions are being made on yearly and quarterly charts that almost nobody even opens.

Today, I’m breaking down Moderna (NASDAQ: MRNA) and showing you how a 12-month demand imbalance at $29.79 stopped the decline after years of lower prices.

No indicators. No earnings drama. And no, this is not an intraday setup you can trade between two coffees.

Moderna: A Quick, Necessary Context (Not a Fundamental Analysis)

Moderna is a pharmaceutical and biotechnology company that became globally famous during COVID-19 thanks to its mRNA vaccine.

That’s the context. That’s all we need.

I’m not analysing balance sheets, revenues, or what the CEO had for breakfast.
Everything that matters for trading is already printed on the chart — and more importantly, on the higher timeframes.

The Part Most Traders Ignore: Time

Moderna’s stock has been dropping for years. That is not an opinion — it’s visible price action.

During that decline:

• There were multiple opportunities to trade the move lower
• Momentum traders and short-term strategies had plenty to do
• Swing and long-term traders were… waiting

Waiting is not sexy.
Waiting doesn’t sell courses.
Waiting doesn’t give dopamine hits every five minutes.

But waiting is what professionals do.

The Only Thing That Matters Now: Moderna Monthly Demand at $29.79

Eventually, price reached a 12-month demand imbalance at $29.79.

Let’s be very precise here:

• I am not saying price must rally
• I am not saying demand “will win”
• I am not predicting anything

I’m saying something much more boring — and much more powerful:

👉 Price has reached a higher-timeframe demand imbalance

That single fact changes everything. What made sense before reaching that zone no longer makes sense inside it.

Shorting now? That would be like trying to sell umbrellas during a hurricane… inside a warehouse full of buyers.

But It’s Been Dropping for Years

Exactly. And that’s why most traders get it wrong right here.

They anchor their bias to the past: It’s been bearish forever, so it must keep going.

Markets don’t work on memory.
They work on location.

And location is defined by supply and demand imbalances, not by emotions, opinions, or Twitter threads.

Swing vs Intraday: Two Completely Different Worlds

Intraday traders want:

• Fast moves
• Constant action
• Immediate feedback

Swing and long-term traders accept:

• Silence
• Boredom
• Weeks of nothing happening

Most traders say they want swing trading results but behave like caffeinated scalpers. (And then wonder why their account looks like a medical chart.)

Why Yearly & Quarterly Timeframes Feel Like Science Fiction

For most retail traders:

• A monthly candle feels “too slow”
• A quarterly candle feels “pointless”
• A yearly candle feels like ancient history

Yet these are the exact timeframes where:

• Institutions position
• Risk is defined clearly
• Noise disappears

You don’t need more trades.
You need better locations.

What I Can Say — and What I Refuse to Say

✔️ Price has reached a 12-month demand imbalance
✔️ This is not a place to be aggressive on shorts
✔️ This is a long-term context zone, not an intraday playground

❌ I’m not calling entries
❌ I’m not forecasting price
❌ I’m not telling you “what will happen next”

Trading is not about knowing the future. It’s about knowing where you are.

Final Thoughts about Moderna Stock

If you’re trading Moderna on a 5-minute chart right now, we’re not even playing the same game.

This analysis is about:

• Swing stock trading
• Long-term stock investing
• Supply and demand strategy
• And having the emotional stability to wait without clicking buttons

Bigger timeframes don’t move fast. They move capital. And capital doesn’t care about your impatience.